JANEWAY

Just A Neutral Engine With Autonomous Yield

Status
active
Version
v1
Trades
3
Signal Book/insider_clusters
Signal
insider_clusters

Watches for company executives buying their own stock together

When three or more executives at the same company buy their own stock within a two-week window, it's a strong collective signal that they believe the company is undervalued — stronger than any single insider trade. This signal buys when the cluster forms. Each purchase must be at least $25,000 and recorded on SEC Form 4.

Trailing 90d Attribution
— no data yet

Kill Criteria

MIN TRADES FOR EVAL
3/30
DRAWDOWN VS CAP
SHARPE VS MIN
HIT RATE VS MIN
— awaiting evidence (3/30 trades; metrics hidden until threshold met)

Alpha Decay Monitor

insufficient_dataas of 2026-05-10
Baseline Sharpe
0.70
Realized 30d Sharpe
Realized 90d Sharpe
Closed trades
0/30

Not enough closed trades yet to evaluate decay. Threshold is 30 closed trades; until then this card tracks accumulation rather than judgment.

Mechanism (Technical)

Insider buying, when clustered, is one of the cleanest leading indicators documented in the literature (Cohen, Malloy, Pomorski 2012 — 'Decoding Inside Information'). Single-insider buys have noise; multiple independent insiders buying within a narrow window signal shared conviction that isn't explained by scheduled 10b5-1 plans or executive compensation mechanics. We focus on open-market purchases (transaction code 'P'), not option exercises or automated plans, and require geographic/role independence where derivable.

Sizing

Method
fixed_notional
Base Notional
$250
Normal
1×
High Vol
0.5×
Crisis
0.25×

Recent Trades

3 shown
  1. 2026-05-28 21:19:26 UTCAIIBUY$250.0000SUBMITTED

    Insider cluster: 3 distinct insiders at AII made open-market purchases totaling $199,715 within 14-day window (2026-05-22 to 2026-05-26).

  2. 2026-05-20 21:15:19 UTCAEBIBUY$250.0000SUBMITTED

    Insider cluster: 4 distinct insiders at AEBI made open-market purchases totaling $223,015 within 14-day window (2026-05-15 to 2026-05-19).

  3. 2026-04-27 20:52:04 UTCEFORBUY$250.0000FILLED

    Insider cluster: 10 distinct insiders at EFOR made open-market purchases totaling $1,758,406 within 14-day window (2026-04-24 to 2026-04-27).

Lifecycle Events

2 events
  1. 2026-04-23 19:01:31 UTCRESUMEDtransition: proposed→active
  2. 2026-04-23 19:01:30 UTCFIREDtransition: none→proposedcontract_path: /Users/joshuagafni/Documents/Janeway/Repositories.nosync/janeway/signals/insider_clusters.yamlcontract_version: 1

References